Bayes Market
Bayes Market
Bayes Market
The Next-Generation Prediction Market Designed for All.
The Next-Generation Prediction Market Designed for All.
The Next-Generation Prediction Market Designed for All.
Trade Your Belief.
Surface the Truth.
Form Shared-Reality.
Dare to Know.
Dare to Know.
Dare to Know.
Dare to Know.
Dare to Know.
Dare to Know.


Bayes Prediction Market
Where Structure Meets Signal
Where Structure Meets Signal
The Epistemic Infrastructure to Turn your Conviction into Tradable Asset.
Bayes Market delivers professional regional-aware market structure, stable value rails and multiple paths to value.
Asia-Rooted, Global Signal
Purpose-built for the Asian market, with regional-specific data feeds for global insights. A community-first approach and culturally resonant design to foster intellectual debate and social engagement.
Native Stablecoin Value Lock
Predict the future without volatility. Our native BAYES stablecoin is pegged 1:1 to the US dollar, so you can focus purely on your conviction.
Strategy Vaults
Strategy vaults contribute your capital to professionally managed portfolios that execute automated strategies. You earn a share of the profits without being a full-time trader.
Engineered for Efficiency
Powered by a Centralized Limit Order Book (CLOB), Bayes Market offers an unparalleled trading experience with deep liquidity, minimal slippage, and advanced order types.

Bayes Prediction Market
Where Structure Meets Signal
The Epistemic Infrastructure to Turn your Conviction into Tradable Asset.
Bayes Market delivers professional regional-aware market structure, stable value rails and multiple paths to value.
Asia-Rooted, Global Signal
Purpose-built for the Asian market, with regional-specific data feeds for global insights. A community-first approach and culturally resonant design to foster intellectual debate and social engagement.
Native Stablecoin Value Lock
Predict the future without volatility. Our native BAYES stablecoin is pegged 1:1 to the US dollar, so you can focus purely on your conviction.
Strategy Vaults
Strategy vaults contribute your capital to professionally managed portfolios that execute automated strategies. You earn a share of the profits without being a full-time trader.
Engineered for Efficiency
Powered by a Centralized Limit Order Book (CLOB), Bayes Market offers an unparalleled trading experience with deep liquidity, minimal slippage, and advanced order types.

Bayes Prediction Market
Where Structure Meets Signal
The Epistemic Infrastructure to Turn your Conviction into Tradable Asset.
Bayes Market delivers professional regional-aware market structure, stable value rails and multiple paths to value.
Asia-Rooted, Global Signal
Purpose-built for the Asian market, with regional-specific data feeds for global insights. A community-first approach and culturally resonant design to foster intellectual debate and social engagement.
Native Stablecoin Value Lock
Predict the future without volatility. Our native BAYES stablecoin is pegged 1:1 to the US dollar, so you can focus purely on your conviction.
Strategy Vaults
Strategy vaults contribute your capital to professionally managed portfolios that execute automated strategies. You earn a share of the profits without being a full-time trader.
Engineered for Efficiency
Powered by a Centralized Limit Order Book (CLOB), Bayes Market offers an unparalleled trading experience with deep liquidity, minimal slippage, and advanced order types.
Social Prediction Layer
Social Prediction Layer
Insight as a Social Primitive
Insight as a Social Primitive

From Opinions to Intelligence
From Opinions to Intelligence
We don’t just host markets. We generate them. You don't just stake the take. You explain your rationales.
We don’t just host markets. We generate them. You don't just stake the take. You explain your rationales.
Bayes Market lets users create markets and surface knowledge through community-driven mechanisms.
Bayes Market lets users create markets and surface knowledge through community-driven mechanisms.
Bounty Quest: The Marketplace of Ideas
Bounty Quest: The Marketplace of Ideas
Post a question, fund a prize pool, and get expert insights. You're rewarded for your thoughtful rationale, not just for picking a side.
Post a question, fund a prize pool, and get expert insights. You're rewarded for your thoughtful rationale, not just for picking a side.
"I'm Calling": Your Voice, Your Conviction
"I'm Calling": Your Voice, Your Conviction
Publicly back a belief and provide your reasoning, invite friends and the Bayes community to vote or doubt. It's a low-friction way to express your foresight and be recognized for being right.
Publicly back a belief and provide your reasoning, invite friends and the Bayes community to vote or doubt. It's a low-friction way to express your foresight and be recognized for being right.
Decentralized Intelligence Playground
Decentralized Intelligence Playground
Decentralized Intelligence Playground
Toward an Epistemic Economy
Toward an Epistemic Economy
Toward an Epistemic Economy
Epistemic Infrastructure
Epistemic Infrastructure
Bayes Market is essentially building an epistemic infrastructure—a foundational layer for how we produce, validate, and distribute intelligence in the 21st century. Bayes Market is an open arena for collective reasoning, data generation, and human-AI synergy.
Bayes Market is essentially building an epistemic infrastructure—a foundational layer for how we produce, validate, and distribute intelligence in the 21st century. Bayes Market is an open arena for collective reasoning, data generation, and human-AI synergy.
Swarm Intelligence Engine
Swarm Intelligence Engine
The power of swarm intelligence. We go beyond simple voting to turn collective wisdom into a powerful asset. By combining convictions, economic incentives, and on-chain reputation, we aggregate intelligence with unparalleled accuracy.
The power of swarm intelligence. We go beyond simple voting to turn collective wisdom into a powerful asset. By combining convictions, economic incentives, and on-chain reputation, we aggregate intelligence with unparalleled accuracy.
Form Our Shared Reality
Form Our Shared Reality
In a world of trust crisis and fragmented truth, we believe the best way to predict the future is to build an infrastructure from ground-up. This is where opinions are met and staked, where data becomes a shared reality, and where you play a direct role in creating a more informed world.
In a world of trust crisis and fragmented truth, we believe the best way to predict the future is to build an infrastructure from ground-up. This is where opinions are met and staked, where data becomes a shared reality, and where you play a direct role in creating a more informed world.